PFL · Mar 11, 2026 08:00
Garelli United
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 7
FT
Philippine Army
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 83% home + 11% draw = 94% combined
97%
accuracy
1.11x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Garelli United Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (5%)3-2 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-0 (3%)2-2 (3%)3-3 (2%)
WRONG 1-7
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
94%
Home/Draw
1.11x
DC X2
Away/Draw
6.18x
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 80%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Garelli United
WLLLL
STABLE
Philippine Army
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGODDS_CONFIRM_75
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 83%⚠️ Bookmaker disagrees: favours HOME at 83%Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Garelli Unitedvs
1.68
Philippine ArmyGoal Probability
Garelli Uni…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Philippine …
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-4 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Garelli Uni…+2
Gap#11
Philippine …
WR 25% 9 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Garelli United
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Garelli… v Mendiola | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | Garelli… v Stallion | 4-0 |
| Feb 25 | Garelli… v Manila … | 6-1 |
| Feb 22 | Garelli… v Davao A… | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Garelli… v Taguig | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Garelli… v Kaya–Il… | 6-0 |
| Nov 30 | Garelli… v Taguig | 0-7 |
| Nov 22 | Garelli… v Stallion | 0-8 |
| Nov 02 | Garelli… v Kaya–Il… | 1-7 |
| Oct 26 | Garelli… v Davao A… | 3-0 |
Philippine Army
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Philipp… v Maharli… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Philipp… v Tuloy | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Philipp… v Stallion | 1-5 |
| Feb 11 | Philipp… v Dynamic… | 10-2 |
| Feb 07 | Philipp… v Tuloy | 6-2 |
| Nov 29 | Philipp… v Manila … | 0-8 |
| Nov 22 | Philipp… v Dynamic… | 0-5 |
| Oct 25 | Philipp… v Stallion | 7-0 |
| Oct 18 | Philipp… v Maharli… | 5-1 |
| Oct 05 | Philipp… v Taguig | 13-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 14, 2024 | Philippine Ar… | 0-1 | Garelli United |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
61%
Market
98%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Garelli United struggling (4L in last 5)
Philippine Army struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.