Primeira Liga · Feb 22, 2026 20:30
FC Porto
PWR 35
Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 85% home + 11% draw = 95% combined
97%
accuracy
1.1x
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Porto Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
95%
Home/Draw
1.1x
DC X2
Away/Draw
6.87x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Porto
LDWDW
STABLE
Rio Ave FC
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMESODDS_CONFIRM_75
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 85%H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FC Portovs
0.37
Rio Ave FCGoal Probability
FC Porto
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Rio Ave FC
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (14%)1-0 (11%)4-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
FC Porto+12
Gap#13
Rio Ave FC
WR 83% 66 pts
WR 23% 24 pts
FC Porto
12.0%
| Feb 18 | FC Porto v Spartakā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v UniĆ£o dā¦ | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | FC Porto v Sportinā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | FC Porto v AcadĆ©miā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | FC Porto v Artsakh | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | FC Porto v Casa Piā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | FC Porto v Rodina ā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Porto v Farense | 2-3 |
| Jan 29 | FC Porto v Rangersā¦ | 3-1 |
Rio Ave FC
0.0%
| Feb 16 | Rio Aveā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Rio Aveā¦ v SC Braga | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Rio Aveā¦ v Arouca | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Rio Aveā¦ v Nacional | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Rio Aveā¦ v Benfica | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Rio Aveā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 3-1 |
| Dec 28 | Rio Aveā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 4-0 |
| Dec 20 | Rio Aveā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 2-2 |
| Dec 13 | Rio Aveā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Rio Aveā¦ v AVS | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 19, 2025 | Rio Ave FC | 0-3 | FC Porto |
| Feb 03, 2025 | Rio Ave FC | 2-2 | FC Porto |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Feb 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 0-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Feb 03, 2024 | FC Porto | 0-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Rio Ave FC | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Feb 18, 2023 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Rio Ave FC |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Rio Ave FC | 3-1 | FC Porto |
| Dec 15, 2021 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Rio Ave FC |
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)CS70+M80 (81.0%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)ODDS55+CS68 (80.3%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+DR<22 (78.0%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)CS72+DR<20 (77.4%)xG0.7+CS70 (77.4%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)CS70+M75+S65 (76.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
99%
Key Factors
Rio Ave FC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.