First Division · Feb 21, 2026 15:00
Apollon Limassol
PWR 35
Ethnikos Achna
PWR 35
Apollon Limassol
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Ethnikos Achna
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 65% home + 21% draw = 87% combined
92%
accuracy
1.21x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Apollon Limassol Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
77%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
87%
Home/Draw
1.21x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.03x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Apollon Limass…
WWWWW
UP
Ethnikos Achna
WDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAKPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.3%) - consider AHâś“ Passed (5 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Apollon Limass…vs
0.78
Ethnikos AchnaGoal Probability
Apollon Lim…
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Ethnikos Ac…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (14%)4-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Apollon Lim…+11
Gap#13
Ethnikos Ac…
WR 69% 52 pts
WR 8% 23 pts
Apollon Limass…
20.0%
| Feb 14 | Apollon… v AEK Lar… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Apollon… v Olympia… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Apollon… v Omonia … | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Apollon… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Apollon… v Aris | 4-0 |
| Jan 18 | Apollon… v Apoel N… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | Apollon… v Anortho… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Apollon… v Enosis | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Apollon… v Pafos FC | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | Apollon… v Digenis… | 0-1 |
Ethnikos Achna
12.0%
| Feb 15 | Ethniko… v Apoel N… | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Ethniko… v AE Zaka… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ethniko… v Ahirona… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ethniko… v Enosis | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Ethniko… v Iraklis… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Ethniko… v Pafos FC | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ethniko… v Spartak… | 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | Ethniko… v Digenis… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Ethniko… v Aris | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | Ethniko… v Halkano… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Ethnikos Achna | 0-1 | Apollon Limas… |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Ethnikos Achna | 0-1 | Apollon Limas… |
| Dec 04, 2024 | Apollon Limas… | 0-0 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Apollon Limas… | 2-2 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Ethnikos Achna | 3-3 | Apollon Limas… |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Apollon Limas… | 2-2 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Apollon Limas… | 0-0 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Ethnikos Achna | 2-2 | Apollon Limas… |
| Dec 06, 2021 | Ethnikos Achna | 0-1 | Apollon Limas… |
| Aug 23, 2021 | Apollon Limas… | 4-2 | Ethnikos Achna |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
87%
Market
67%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Apollon Limassol in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.