Roraimense · Mar 18, 2026 23:00
Progresso
PWR 35
Náutico RR
PWR 35
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Progresso
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Náutico RR Win
Score
0-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Náutico RR
LLDLL
DOWN
Progresso
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateElevated draw risk (21.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Náutico RRvs
1.60
ProgressoGoal Probability
Náutico RR
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Progresso
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Náutico RR-2
Gap#6
Progresso
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 20% 6 pts
Náutico RR
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Náutico… v GAS | 4-1 |
| Mar 05 | Náutico… v Monte R… | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Náutico… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Náutico… v São Rai… | 0-4 |
| Feb 10 | Náutico… v Baré | 0-2 |
| Jan 28 | Náutico… v Rio Neg… | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Náutico… v GAS | 1-6 |
| Mar 19 | Náutico… v Rio Neg… | 5-1 |
| Mar 10 | Náutico… v Baré | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Náutico… v Progres… | 5-0 |
Progresso
8.0%
| Mar 11 | Progres… v Atlétic… | 1-4 |
| Mar 06 | Progres… v Rio Neg… | 0-7 |
| Feb 28 | Progres… v Rio Neg… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Progres… v GAS | 0-3 |
| Feb 03 | Progres… v Monte R… | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | Progres… v São Rai… | 5-0 |
| Mar 26 | Progres… v Baré | 0-7 |
| Mar 18 | Progres… v Monte R… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Progres… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Progres… v São Rai… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 04, 2025 | Náutico RR | 5-0 | Progresso |
| May 14, 2024 | Progresso | 0-7 | Náutico RR |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Náutico RR | 5-3 | Progresso |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Náutico RR struggling (4L in last 5)
Progresso struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.