Championship · Mar 18, 2026 19:45
Southampton
PWR 36
Norwich City
PWR 33
Southampton
PWR 36
3-2
predicted
Norwich City
PWR 33
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Southampton Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)0-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
43Attack37
59Defense58
Goals/G
1.41.2
Conc/G
1.41.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Southampton
DWWLW
STABLE
Norwich City
WLWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 35% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Southamptonvs
1.84
Norwich CityGoal Probability
Southampton
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Norwich City
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Southampton+8
Gap#15
Norwich City
WR 47% 54 pts
WR 39% 48 pts
Southampton
14.0%
| Mar 11 | Southam… v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Southam… v Scuntho… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Southam… v Fulham | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Southam… v Morecam… | 0-5 |
| Mar 03 | Southam… v Hartlep… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v FC Hali… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Sheffie… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Yeovil … | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Southam… v Yeovil … | 3-2 |
| Feb 24 | Southam… v QPR | 5-0 |
Norwich City
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Norwich… v Sheffie… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Norwich… v Leeds | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Norwich… v Leicest… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Norwich… v Sheffie… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Norwich… v Birming… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Norwich… v West Br… | 3-1 |
| Feb 10 | Norwich… v Oxford … | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Norwich… v Blackbu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Norwich… v Middles… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Norwich… v Coventry | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Norwich City | 2-1 | Southampton |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Norwich City | 0-3 | Southampton |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Norwich City | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Norwich City | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Southampton | 4-4 | Norwich City |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Southampton | 2-0 | Norwich City |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Norwich City | 2-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 19, 2020 | Norwich City | 0-3 | Southampton |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Southampton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Norwich City in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.