FKF Premier League · Mar 16, 2026 13:00
Sofapaka
PWR 35
Sofapaka
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Nairobi United
PWR 35
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (22%)0-0 (20%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sofapaka
LLLLL
DOWN
Nairobi United
DDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: FKF Premier League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Sofapakavs
1.10
Nairobi UnitedGoal Probability
Sofapaka
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Nairobi Uni…
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-0 (15%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Sofapaka-8
Gap#10
Nairobi Uni…
WR 8% 14 pts
WR 50% 30 pts
Sofapaka
0.0%
| Mar 02 | Sofapaka v Mara Su… | 3-1 |
| Feb 26 | Sofapaka v Police | 0-2 |
| Feb 20 | Sofapaka v Homeboyz | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Sofapaka v Murang'… | 2-3 |
| Jan 31 | Sofapaka v Gor Mah… | 3-0 |
| Jan 25 | Sofapaka v AFC Leo… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Sofapaka v Shabana | 1-0 |
| Jan 09 | Sofapaka v Bidco U… | 1-1 |
| Dec 22 | Sofapaka v Karioba… | 0-0 |
| Dec 17 | Sofapaka v Mathare… | 1-0 |
Nairobi United
8.0%
| Mar 04 | Nairobi… v KCB | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Nairobi… v Bandari | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Nairobi… v Bidco U… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Nairobi… v Wydad F… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Nairobi… v APS Bom… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Nairobi… v Azam | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Nairobi… v Azam | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Nairobi… v Police | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Nairobi… v KCB | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nairobi… v Ulinzi … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Nairobi United | 0-3 | Sofapaka |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sofapaka struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.