First League · Mar 17, 2026 16:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
Septemvri Sofia
PWR 35
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Septemvri Sofia
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lokomotiv Sofia Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (22%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LLLWD
DOWN
Septemvri Sofia
LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 42% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Lokomotiv Sofiavs
0.20
Septemvri SofiaGoal Probability
Lokomotiv S…
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Septemvri S…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Lokomotiv S…+4
Gap#14
Septemvri S…
WR 25% 30 pts
WR 17% 21 pts
Lokomotiv Sofia
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v CSKA 19… | 0-5 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v Dobrudz… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Lokomot… v Ludogor… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 4-3 |
| Feb 21 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Lokomot… v Cherno … | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Lokomot… v Botev P… | 1-0 |
Septemvri Sofia
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Septemv… v Cherno … | 0-3 |
| Mar 03 | Septemv… v Botev P… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Septemv… v CSKA So… | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Septemv… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Septemv… v Dobrudz… | 3-0 |
| Jan 26 | Septemv… v Ordabasy | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Septemv… v Neftchi | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | Septemv… v Ludogor… | 1-3 |
| Dec 07 | Septemv… v Beroe | 0-0 |
| Dec 03 | Septemv… v CSKA 19… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 03, 2025 | Septemvri Sof… | 2-2 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Septemvri Sof… | 1-0 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| May 20, 2025 | Septemvri Sof… | 0-2 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-2 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Septemvri Sof… | 0-1 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-1 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-1 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Aug 08, 2022 | Septemvri Sof… | 0-3 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Jul 02, 2022 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 2-3 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Mar 06, 2021 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-0 | Septemvri Sof… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Sofia struggling (3L in last 5)
Septemvri Sofia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.