Ligue 1 · Mar 08, 2026 14:00
Lens
PWR 44
Metz
PWR 22
Lens
PWR 44
3 - 0
FT
Metz
PWR 22
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 73% home + 17% draw = 90% combined
95%
accuracy
1.17x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lens Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
72%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 3-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
90%
Home/Draw
1.17x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.85x
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
51Attack32
76Defense31
Goals/G
1.71.1
Conc/G
0.82.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lens
WDDDD
STABLE
Metz
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team drew 4/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdPREMIUM with draw risk (21%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
3.38
Lensvs
0.39
MetzGoal Probability
Lens
0
3%
1
12%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Metz
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (12%)4-0 (12%)5-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Lens+16
Gap#18
Metz
WR 85% 56 pts
WR 8% 13 pts
Lens
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Lens v Annecy | 3-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lens v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Lens v Red Star | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Lens v Guingamp | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lens v AS Mona… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Lens v Paris FC | 0-5 |
| Feb 14 | Lens v Montpel… | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Lens v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Lens v Laval | 1-1 |
Metz
2.0%
| Mar 01 | Metz v Stade B… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Metz v Paris S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Metz v Auxerre | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Metz v Lille | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Metz v Olympiq… | 2-5 |
| Jan 18 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Metz v Montpel… | 0-4 |
| Jan 04 | Metz v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Metz v Paris S… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Metz | 2-0 | Lens |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Lens | 2-1 | Metz |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Metz | 2-1 | Lens |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Metz | 2-1 | Lens |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Lens | 0-1 | Metz |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Metz | 0-0 | Lens |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Lens | 4-1 | Metz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Lens | 2-2 | Metz |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Metz | 2-0 | Lens |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
94%
Market
94%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Metz struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.