Championship · Mar 11, 2026 19:45

Birmingham
PWR 36
1 - 0
FT

QPR
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Birmingham Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5 66%
66%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
41Attack42
62Defense57
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.31.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Birmingham LLDLW
DOWN
QPR LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 41% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Birmingham
vs
1.19
QPR
Goal Probability
Birmingham
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
QPR
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 90% 10% OVER
1.5 67% 33% OVER
2.5 40% 60% -
3.5 20% 80% UNDER
4.5 8% 92% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#13
Birmingham
+3
Gap
#16
QPR
WR 47% 49 pts WR 28% 47 pts
Birmingham 6.0%
Mar 10 Birming… v Milton … 1-5
Mar 07 Birming… v Charlton 1-0
Mar 07 Birming… v Fleetwo… 1-1
Mar 02 Birming… v Middles… 1-3
Feb 28 Birming… v Barrow 0-1
Feb 25 Birming… v Millwall 3-0
Feb 21 Birming… v Oldham 0-3
Feb 21 Birming… v Norwich… 1-2
Feb 17 Birming… v Chester… 1-0
Feb 15 Birming… v Leeds 1-1
QPR 4.0%
Mar 08 QPR v Middles… 0-4
Feb 28 QPR v Sheffie… 0-2
Feb 24 QPR v Southam… 5-0
Feb 21 QPR v Hull Ci… 1-3
Feb 14 QPR v Blackbu… 1-3
Feb 06 QPR v Charlton 0-0
Jan 31 QPR v Coventry 2-1
Jan 24 QPR v Wrexham 2-3
Jan 20 QPR v Oxford … 0-0
Jan 17 QPR v Stoke C… 0-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 09, 2025 QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Mar 29, 2024 QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Mar 29, 2024 QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Sep 22, 2023 Birmingham 0-0 QPR
Mar 18, 2023 QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Oct 28, 2022 Birmingham 2-0 QPR
Jan 02, 2022 Birmingham 1-2 QPR
Sep 28, 2021 QPR 2-0 Birmingham
Feb 27, 2021 Birmingham 2-1 QPR
Oct 24, 2020 QPR 0-0 Birmingham
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Birmingham struggling (3L in last 5)
QPR struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.