Primeira Liga · Mar 14, 2026 18:00
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
GIL Vicente
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Alverca
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
GIL Vicente Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (3%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
GIL Vicente
DLLWW
STABLE
Alverca
DDDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
GIL Vicentevs
0.46
AlvercaGoal Probability
GIL Vicente
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Alverca
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
GIL Vicente+5
Gap#10
Alverca
WR 58% 41 pts
WR 17% 28 pts
GIL Vicente
10.0%
| Mar 08 | GIL Vic… v Estrela… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | GIL Vic… v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | GIL Vic… v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | GIL Vic… v SC Braga | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | GIL Vic… v Moreire… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | GIL Vic… v Famalic… | 5-0 |
| Jan 26 | GIL Vic… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | GIL Vic… v Nacional | 2-1 |
| Jan 02 | GIL Vic… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Dec 28 | GIL Vic… v Arouca | 2-2 |
Alverca
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Alverca v AVS | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Alverca v Guimara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Alverca v Santa C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Alverca v Tondela | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alverca v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Alverca v Estrela… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Alverca v SC Braga | 5-0 |
| Jan 17 | Alverca v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Alverca v Famalic… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Alverca v Estoril | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Alverca | 0-4 | GIL Vicente |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.