Primeira Liga · Mar 15, 2026 15:30
Santa Clara
PWR 35
AVS
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Santa Clara
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: AVS to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (14%)0-1 (14%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AVS
DDLWL
STABLE
Santa Clara
WDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 72% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
AVSvs
0.97
Santa ClaraGoal Probability
AVS
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Santa Clara
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
AVS-2
Gap#16
Santa Clara
WR 8% 10 pts
WR 8% 22 pts
AVS
8.0%
| Mar 07 | AVS v Alverca | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | AVS v Estrela… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | AVS v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | AVS v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Feb 09 | AVS v Famalic… | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | AVS v Sportin… | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | AVS v SC Braga | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | AVS v Casa Pi… | 3-3 |
| Jan 17 | AVS v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | AVS v Moreire… | 0-2 |
Santa Clara
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Santa C… v Guimara… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Santa C… v Tondela | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Santa C… v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Santa C… v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Santa C… v Estrela… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Santa C… v Estoril | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Santa C… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Santa C… v Famalic… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Santa C… v Nacional | 3-3 |
| Jan 04 | Santa C… v FC Porto | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Santa Clara | 2-0 | AVS |
| Feb 08, 2025 | AVS | 1-2 | Santa Clara |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Santa Clara | 2-1 | AVS |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.