Championship · Mar 14, 2026 12:30

Middlesbrough
PWR 41
2-1
predicted

Bristol City
PWR 36
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Middlesbrough Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (17%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5 74%
74%
BTTS No
No 20%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
47Attack40
71Defense64
Goals/G
1.61.3
Conc/G
1.01.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Middlesbrough LWWDD
STABLE
Bristol City LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Middlesbrough
vs
0.29
Bristol City
Goal Probability
Middlesbrou…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Bristol City
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (13%)4-0 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 69% 31% OVER
3.5 47% 53% -
4.5 28% 72% UNDER
5.5 15% 85% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#2
Middlesbrou…
+10
Gap
#12
Bristol City
WR 56% 69 pts WR 39% 50 pts
Middlesbrough 12.0%
Mar 11 Middles… v Charlton 0-1
Mar 08 Middles… v QPR 0-4
Mar 02 Middles… v Birming… 1-3
Feb 24 Middles… v Leicest… 1-1
Feb 21 Middles… v Oxford … 0-0
Feb 16 Middles… v Coventry 3-1
Feb 09 Middles… v Sheffie… 1-2
Jan 31 Middles… v Norwich… 1-0
Jan 24 Middles… v Preston 4-0
Jan 21 Middles… v Stoke C… 1-2
Bristol City 4.0%
Mar 10 Bristol… v Leicest… 2-0
Mar 07 Bristol… v Coventry 0-2
Mar 03 Bristol… v Port Va… 1-0
Feb 27 Bristol… v Watford 1-2
Feb 24 Bristol… v Blackbu… 1-2
Feb 21 Bristol… v Swansea 1-0
Feb 17 Bristol… v Wrexham 2-2
Feb 07 Bristol… v Hull Ci… 2-3
Jan 30 Bristol… v Derby 0-5
Jan 24 Bristol… v Sheffie… 2-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 20, 2025 Bristol City 2-0 Middlesbrough
Feb 21, 2025 Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Oct 19, 2024 Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City
Oct 19, 2024 Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City
Feb 10, 2024 Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City
Feb 10, 2024 Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City
Nov 25, 2023 Bristol City 3-2 Middlesbrough
Nov 25, 2023 Bristol City 3-2 Middlesbrough
Apr 10, 2023 Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Nov 05, 2022 Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
80%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bristol City struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.