La Liga · Mar 14, 2026 13:00
Girona
PWR 28
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Girona
PWR 28
1-0
predicted
Athletic Club
PWR 30
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Girona to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
29Attack29
51Defense58
Goals/G
1.01.0
Conc/G
1.61.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Girona
DLDWD
STABLE
Athletic Club
LLDWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Gironavs
0.71
Athletic ClubGoal Probability
Girona
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Athletic Cl…
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Girona-5
Gap#10
Athletic Cl…
WR 31% 31 pts
WR 23% 35 pts
Girona
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Girona v Levante | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Girona v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | Girona v Alavés | 2-2 |
| Feb 16 | Girona v FC Barc… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Girona v Sevilla | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Girona v Oviedo | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Girona v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Girona v Espanyol | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Girona v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Girona v Mallorca | 1-2 |
Athletic Club
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v FC Barc… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Athleti… v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Athleti… v Elche | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Oviedo | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Athleti… v Levante | 4-2 |
| Feb 04 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Athleti… v Sportin… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 23, 2025 | Athletic Club | 1-1 | Girona |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.