La Liga · Mar 15, 2026 20:00

Real Sociedad
PWR 35
3-0
predicted

Osasuna
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Real Sociedad Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5 58%
58%
Team Comparison
41Attack35
59Defense63
Goals/G
1.41.2
Conc/G
1.41.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Real Sociedad LWWLW
STABLE
Osasuna DLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Real Sociedad
vs
1.18
Osasuna
Goal Probability
Real Socied…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Osasuna
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 91% 9% OVER
2.5 77% 23% OVER
3.5 58% 42% -
4.5 38% 62% -
5.5 22% 78% UNDER
6.5 12% 88% UNDER
League Position
#8
Real Socied…
+3
Gap
#11
Osasuna
WR 46% 35 pts WR 14% 34 pts
Real Sociedad 12.0%
Mar 07 Real So… v Atlétic… 3-2
Mar 07 Real So… v Castell… 4-2
Mar 04 Real So… v Athleti… 1-0
Mar 01 Real So… v Deporti… 2-3
Feb 28 Real So… v Mallorca 0-1
Feb 23 Real So… v Cadiz 0-2
Feb 21 Real So… v Oviedo 3-3
Feb 16 Real So… v Malaga 2-1
Feb 14 Real So… v Real Ma… 4-1
Feb 11 Real So… v Athleti… 0-1
Osasuna 12.0%
Mar 07 Osasuna v Mallorca 2-2
Mar 01 Osasuna v Valencia 1-0
Feb 21 Osasuna v Real Ma… 2-1
Feb 13 Osasuna v Elche 0-0
Feb 06 Osasuna v Celta d… 1-2
Jan 31 Osasuna v Villarr… 2-2
Jan 24 Osasuna v Rayo Va… 1-3
Jan 17 Osasuna v Oviedo 3-2
Jan 13 Osasuna v Real So… 2-2
Jan 10 Osasuna v Girona 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 13, 2026 Real Sociedad 2-2 Osasuna
Nov 22, 2025 Osasuna 1-3 Real Sociedad
Feb 06, 2025 Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna
Feb 02, 2025 Osasuna 2-1 Real Sociedad
Oct 27, 2024 Real Sociedad 0-2 Osasuna
Oct 27, 2024 Real Sociedad 0-2 Osasuna
Jul 31, 2024 Real Sociedad 1-2 Osasuna
Feb 10, 2024 Real Sociedad 0-1 Osasuna
Feb 10, 2024 Real Sociedad 0-1 Osasuna
Jan 17, 2024 Osasuna 0-2 Real Sociedad
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.