La Liga · Mar 15, 2026 20:00

Real Sociedad
PWR 35

Osasuna
PWR 35

Real Sociedad
PWR 35
3-0
predicted

Osasuna
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Real Sociedad Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
41Attack35
59Defense63
Goals/G
1.41.2
Conc/G
1.41.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Real Sociedad
LWWLW
STABLE
Osasuna
DLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Real Sociedadvs
1.18
OsasunaGoal Probability
Real Socied…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Osasuna
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Real Socied…+3
Gap#11
Osasuna
WR 46% 35 pts
WR 14% 34 pts
Real Sociedad
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Real So… v Atlétic… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Real So… v Castell… | 4-2 |
| Mar 04 | Real So… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Real So… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Cadiz | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Real So… v Oviedo | 3-3 |
| Feb 16 | Real So… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real So… v Real Ma… | 4-1 |
| Feb 11 | Real So… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
Osasuna
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Osasuna v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Osasuna v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Osasuna v Elche | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Osasuna v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Osasuna v Villarr… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Osasuna v Rayo Va… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Osasuna v Oviedo | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | Osasuna v Real So… | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Osasuna v Girona | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad | 2-2 | Osasuna |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Osasuna | 1-3 | Real Sociedad |
| Feb 06, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 2-0 | Osasuna |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Osasuna | 2-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 0-2 | Osasuna |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 0-2 | Osasuna |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Osasuna |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 0-1 | Osasuna |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 0-1 | Osasuna |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Osasuna | 0-2 | Real Sociedad |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.