La Liga · Mar 14, 2026 17:30
Oviedo
PWR 25
Valencia
PWR 29
Oviedo
PWR 25
0-1
predicted
Valencia
PWR 29
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Valencia Win
Score
0-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (26%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
16Attack31
54Defense52
Goals/G
0.51.0
Conc/G
1.51.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Oviedo
DLLDL
STABLE
Valencia
WWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Oviedovs
0.79
ValenciaGoal Probability
Oviedo
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Valencia
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Oviedo-8
Gap#12
Valencia
WR 15% 18 pts
WR 15% 32 pts
Oviedo
4.0%
| Mar 09 | Oviedo v Espanyol | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Oviedo v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Oviedo v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Oviedo v Real So… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Oviedo v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Oviedo v Girona | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Oviedo v FC Barc… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Oviedo v Osasuna | 3-2 |
| Jan 10 | Oviedo v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Oviedo v Alavés | 1-1 |
Valencia
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Valencia v Alavés | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Valencia v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Valencia v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Valencia v Levante | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Valencia v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Valencia v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Valencia v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Valencia v Espanyol | 3-2 |
| Jan 18 | Valencia v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Jan 15 | Valencia v Burgos | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 30, 2025 | Valencia | 1-2 | Oviedo |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Valencia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Oviedo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.