La Liga · Mar 14, 2026 15:15
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Getafe
PWR 30
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
4-1
predicted
Getafe
PWR 30
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atlético Madrid Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
52Attack22
77Defense63
Goals/G
1.70.7
Conc/G
0.81.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Atlético Madrid
WWLWW
STABLE
Getafe
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk18%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Atlético Madridvs
0.94
GetafeGoal Probability
Atlético Ma…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Getafe
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Atlético Ma…+6
Gap#9
Getafe
WR 86% 54 pts
WR 39% 35 pts
Atlético Madrid
16.0%
| Mar 10 | Atlétic… v Tottenh… | 5-2 |
| Mar 07 | Atlétic… v Real So… | 3-2 |
| Mar 03 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Atlétic… v Oviedo | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Espanyol | 4-2 |
| Feb 18 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 0-1 |
Getafe
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Getafe v Real Be… | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Getafe v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Getafe v Sevilla | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Getafe v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Getafe v Alavés | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Getafe v Celta d… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Getafe v Girona | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Getafe v Valencia | 0-1 |
| Jan 09 | Getafe v Real So… | 1-2 |
| Jan 02 | Getafe v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Getafe | 0-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Feb 04, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 5-0 | Getafe |
| May 15, 2024 | Getafe | 0-3 | Atlético Madr… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atlético Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
Getafe in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.