Serie A · Mar 15, 2026 17:00
Como
PWR 45
AS Roma
PWR 41
Como
PWR 45
1-1
predicted
AS Roma
PWR 41
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (13%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
48Attack35
79Defense82
Goals/G
1.61.2
Conc/G
0.70.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Como
WDWWD
STABLE
AS Roma
LDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Comovs
0.46
AS RomaGoal Probability
Como
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
AS Roma
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Como+1
Gap#5
AS Roma
WR 50% 51 pts
WR 50% 51 pts
Como
16.0%
| Mar 07 | Como v Cagliari | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Como v Inter M… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Como v Lecce | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Como v Juventus | 0-2 |
| Feb 18 | Como v AC Milan | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Como v Fiorent… | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Como v Napoli | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Como v Atalanta | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | Como v Fiorent… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | Como v Torino | 6-0 |
AS Roma
12.0%
| Mar 08 | AS Roma v Genoa | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | AS Roma v Juventus | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | AS Roma v Cremone… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | AS Roma v Napoli | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | AS Roma v Cagliari | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | AS Roma v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | AS Roma v Panathi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | AS Roma v AC Milan | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | AS Roma v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | AS Roma v Torino | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Dec 15, 2025 | AS Roma | 1-0 | Como |
| Dec 08, 2025 | AS Roma | 2-1 | Como |
| Mar 02, 2025 | AS Roma | 2-1 | Como |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Como | 2-0 | AS Roma |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Como | 2-0 | AS Roma |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Como in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.