Ligue 2 · Mar 14, 2026 13:00

Dunkerque
PWR 41
Red Star
PWR 44
PWR 44
1-1
predicted

Dunkerque
PWR 41
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
40Attack50
59Defense67
Goals/G
1.11.7
Conc/G
1.21.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Red Star
LDLWL
STABLE
Dunkerque
DLDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Red Starvs
1.75
DunkerqueGoal Probability
Red Star
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Dunkerque
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Red Star-9
Gap#4
Dunkerque
WR 31% 64 pts
WR 36% 119 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Star | 49 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 56 | 57 | 64 |
| Dunkerque | 88 | 32 | 23 | 33 | 103 | 107 | 119 |
Red Star
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Red Star v St Etie… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Red Star v Lens | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Red Star v Annecy | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Red Star v Annecy | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Red Star v Pau FC | 0-3 |
| Jan 30 | Red Star v Rodez | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Red Star v Boulogne | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | Red Star v Grenoble | 0-3 |
| Jan 03 | Red Star v Estac T… | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Red Star v Reims | 0-0 |
Dunkerque
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Dunkerq… v Reims | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Dunkerq… v Clermont | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Dunkerq… v Bastia | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Dunkerq… v Amiens | 1-4 |
| Feb 06 | Dunkerq… v Guingamp | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Dunkerq… v Annecy | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Dunkerq… v Lens | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Dunkerq… v Pau FC | 3-1 |
| Jan 05 | Dunkerq… v Montpel… | 1-3 |
| Dec 21 | Dunkerq… v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 28, 2025 | Dunkerque | 3-0 | Red Star |
| May 10, 2025 | Red Star | 1-1 | Dunkerque |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Dunkerque | 2-0 | Red Star |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Red Star struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.