Eerste Divisie · Mar 17, 2026 19:00
ADO Den Haag
PWR 35
Utrecht
PWR 32
ADO Den Haag
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Utrecht
PWR 32
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 1.9/g, Away concedes 1.9/g, expected 3.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: ADO Den Haag to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack41
100Defense33
Goals/G
0.01.2
Conc/G
0.01.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ADO Den Haag
LWWWW
STABLE
Utrecht
LDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
ADO Den Haagvs
0.55
UtrechtGoal Probability
ADO Den Haag
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Utrecht
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
ADO Den Haag+14
Gap#17
Utrecht
WR 52% 194 pts
WR 20% 91 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 109 | 57 | 23 | 29 | 208 | 143 | 194 |
| Utrecht | 112 | 22 | 25 | 65 | 130 | 215 | 91 |
ADO Den Haag
16.0%
| Mar 07 | ADO Den… v Almere … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | ADO Den… v VVV Ven… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | ADO Den… v Willem … | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | ADO Den… v Helmond… | 1-3 |
| Feb 13 | ADO Den… v MVV Maa… | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | ADO Den… v Roda | 0-3 |
| Jan 30 | ADO Den… v Jong AZ | 1-4 |
| Jan 26 | ADO Den… v Vitesse | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | ADO Den… v Vitesse | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | ADO Den… v Cambuur | 1-2 |
Utrecht
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Utrecht v Cambuur | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Utrecht v Heracles | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Utrecht v Emmen | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Utrecht v AZ Alkm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Utrecht v Almere … | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Utrecht v PEC Zwo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Utrecht v De Graa… | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Utrecht v Willem … | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Utrecht v Groning… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Utrecht v NEC Nij… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 18, 2025 | Utrecht | 2-2 | ADO Den Haag |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Utrecht | 0-2 | ADO Den Haag |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
ADO Den Haag in strong form (4W in last 5)
Utrecht struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.