Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 13, 2026 18:00
Sporting CP B
PWR 35
Chaves
PWR 35
Sporting CP B
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Chaves
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Sporting CP B to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.61x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.63x
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting CP B
LLLWW
DOWN
Chaves
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilitySimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Sporting CP Bvs
0.62
ChavesGoal Probability
Sporting CP…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Chaves
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Sporting CP…+6
Gap#10
Chaves
WR 58% 38 pts
WR 42% 33 pts
Sporting CP B
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v MarĂtimo | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Portimo… | 4-3 |
| Feb 10 | Sportin… v Pacos F… | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Sportin… v União d… | 3-1 |
| Jan 19 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Sportin… v FC Port… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Sportin… v Académi… | 1-2 |
Chaves
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Chaves v Académi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chaves v Vizela | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Chaves v Farense | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chaves v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Chaves v Penafie… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Chaves v Felguei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Chaves v Lusitân… | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | Chaves v Benfica… | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Chaves v MarĂtimo | 2-3 |
| Dec 20 | Chaves v Portimo… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Chaves | 0-0 | Sporting CP B |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
72%
Market
41%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sporting CP B struggling (3L in last 5)
Chaves struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.