Super League 1 · Mar 14, 2026 18:00

Larisa
PWR 35

Asteras Tripolis
PWR 35

Larisa
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Asteras Tripolis
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Larisa Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Larisa
LLDDL
DOWN
Asteras Tripol…
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Larisavs
0.27
Asteras Tripol…Goal Probability
Larisa
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Asteras Tri…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Larisa+1
Gap#13
Asteras Tri…
WR 18% 21 pts
WR 8% 16 pts
Larisa
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Larisa v AEK Ath… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Larisa v OFI Cre… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Larisa v PAOK | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Larisa v Panathi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Larisa v Panetol… | 1-4 |
| Jan 31 | Larisa v Volos N… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Larisa v Panserr… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Larisa v Aris Th… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Larisa v Kifisia | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Larisa v Atromit… | 0-0 |
Asteras Tripol…
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Asteras… v Panserr… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Asteras… v PAOK | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Asteras… v Atromit… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Asteras… v Panetol… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Asteras… v Volos N… | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Asteras… v Olympia… | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Asteras… v Levadia… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Asteras… v AEK Ath… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Asteras… v OFI Cre… | 4-0 |
| Jan 07 | Asteras… v OFI Cre… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Asteras Tripo… | 2-2 | Larisa |
| May 10, 2025 | Larisa | 4-2 | Asteras Tripo… |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Asteras Tripo… | 0-2 | Larisa |
| Feb 03, 2025 | Asteras Tripo… | 1-0 | Larisa |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Asteras Tripo… | 2-1 | Larisa |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Larisa | 0-0 | Asteras Tripo… |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Larisa | 1-1 | Asteras Tripo… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
54%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Larisa struggling (3L in last 5)
Asteras Tripolis struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.