Ligue 1 · Mar 14, 2026 16:00
AJEB
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
ASFB
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AJEB
LLLDW
DOWN
ASFB
DDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
AJEBvs
0.26
ASFBGoal Probability
AJEB
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
ASFB
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
AJEB-11
Gap#5
ASFB
WR 25% 18 pts
WR 38% 31 pts
AJEB
6.0%
| Mar 09 | AJEB v Majesti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | AJEB v RCK | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | AJEB v Rahimo | 2-1 |
| Feb 16 | AJEB v CFFEB | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | AJEB v Salitas… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | AJEB v SONABEL | 4-0 |
| Jan 26 | AJEB v Réal du… | 1-0 |
| Dec 26 | AJEB v Réal du… | 0-0 |
| Dec 18 | AJEB v SONABEL | 2-0 |
| Dec 12 | AJEB v Salitas… | 0-1 |
ASFB
8.0%
| Mar 09 | ASFB v Vitesse | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | ASFB v Douanes | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | ASFB v RCK | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | ASFB v Majesti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | ASFB v USFA | 2-4 |
| Feb 01 | ASFB v Rahimo | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | ASFB v CFFEB | 0-3 |
| Dec 26 | ASFB v CFFEB | 2-1 |
| Dec 19 | ASFB v Rahimo | 1-1 |
| Dec 12 | ASFB v USFA | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | ASFB | 1-0 | AJEB |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AJEB struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.