Friendlies Clubs · Mar 14, 2026 13:00
Ilves
PWR 59
IFK Mariehamn
PWR 57
Ilves
PWR 59
1-0
predicted
IFK Mariehamn
PWR 57
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Ilves to win (85% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
85%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
35Attack47
77Defense88
Goals/G
1.01.3
Conc/G
0.70.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ilves
DWWWW
STABLE
IFK Mariehamn
WDDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Ilvesvs
1.01
IFK MariehamnGoal Probability
Ilves
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
IFK Marieha…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#620
Ilves+45
Gap#665
IFK Marieha…
WR 67% 6 pts
WR 33% 5 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| IFK Mariehamn | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Ilves
18.0%
| Feb 21 | Ilves v AC Oulu | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Ilves v SJK Sei… | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Ilves v KuPS | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ilves v Vaasan … | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Ilves v FF Jaro | 4-2 |
| Jan 24 | Ilves v IF Gnis… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Ilves v Inter T… | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | Ilves v SJK Sei… | 3-3 |
| Oct 30 | Ilves v HJK Hel… | 3-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ilves v SJK Sei… | 2-1 |
IFK Mariehamn
10.0%
| Mar 05 | IFK Mar… v FC Lahti | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | IFK Mar… v Sleipner | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | IFK Mar… v Turku PS | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | IFK Mar… v IF Gnis… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | IFK Mar… v Inter T… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | IFK Mar… v HJK Hel… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | IFK Mar… v AC Oulu | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | IFK Mar… v Kooteep… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | IFK Mar… v FF Jaro | 2-3 |
| Sep 21 | IFK Mar… v Vaasan … | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ilves in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.