Liga Nacional · Mar 15, 2026 23:00
Municipal
PWR 35
Aurora
PWR 35
Municipal
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Aurora
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Municipal Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Municipal
LLWLW
DOWN
Aurora
LDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.48
Municipalvs
0.27
AuroraGoal Probability
Municipal
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Aurora
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (21%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Municipal+3
Gap#4
Aurora
WR 82% 48 pts
WR 27% 39 pts
Municipal
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Municip… v Mictlán | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Municip… v Mixco | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Municip… v Marquen… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Municip… v Comunic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Municip… v Antigua… | 4-2 |
| Feb 18 | Municip… v Cobán I… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Municip… v Achuapa | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Municip… v Malacat… | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | Municip… v Guastat… | 2-1 |
| Jan 29 | Municip… v Xelajú | 1-0 |
Aurora
10.0%
| Mar 11 | Aurora v Mictlán | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Aurora v XelajĂş | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Aurora v Mixco | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Aurora v Marquen… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Aurora v Comunic… | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Aurora v Antigua… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Aurora v Cobán I… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Aurora v Achuapa | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Aurora v Malacat… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Aurora v Guastat… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Aurora | 2-2 | Municipal |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Aurora | 1-0 | Municipal |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Municipal | 2-1 | Aurora |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
71%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Municipal struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.