Primera División · Mar 13, 2026 23:00
A. Italiano
PWR 35
Concepción
PWR 35
A. Italiano
PWR 35
VS
Concepción
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
A. Italiano Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (22%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.92x
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
A. Italiano
LDLWL
STABLE
Concepción
LWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
A. Italianovs
0.20
ConcepciónGoal Probability
A. Italiano
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Concepción
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
A. Italiano+4
Gap#7
Concepción
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
A. Italiano
6.0%
| Mar 07 | A. Ital… v Colo-Co… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | A. Ital… v Cobresal | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | A. Ital… v Union L… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | A. Ital… v Everton… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | A. Ital… v Ñublense | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | A. Ital… v Univers… | 3-0 |
| Jan 30 | A. Ital… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | A. Ital… v Colo-Co… | 1-2 |
| Dec 01 | A. Ital… v Ñublense | 1-0 |
| Nov 21 | A. Ital… v Everton… | 2-0 |
Concepción
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Concepc… v Ñublense | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Concepc… v Coquimb… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Concepc… v Cobresal | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Concepc… v Univers… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Concepc… v Univers… | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Concepc… v O'Higgi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Concepc… v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Concepc… v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Concepc… v Cerro L… | 1-3 |
| Jan 14 | Concepc… v Coquimb… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
A. Italiano struggling (3L in last 5)
Concepción struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.