Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 14, 2026 23:30
Cerro Porteño
PWR 58
Sportivo Trinidense
PWR 47
Cerro Porteño
PWR 58
3-1
predicted
Sportivo Trinidense
PWR 47
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cerro Porteño Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
53Attack46
71Defense60
Goals/G
1.51.3
Conc/G
0.81.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cerro Porteño
WWWLL
UP
Sportivo Trini…
DLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Cerro Porteñovs
0.67
Sportivo Trini…Goal Probability
Cerro Porte…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Sportivo Tr…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (26%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Cerro Porte…+6
Gap#8
Sportivo Tr…
WR 48% 70 pts
WR 33% 45 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteño | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 61 | 33 | 70 |
| Sportivo Trin… | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 43 | 38 | 45 |
Cerro Porteño
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Cerro P… v Club Gu… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Cerro P… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cerro P… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Cerro P… v Naciona… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Cerro P… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Cerro P… v Club Sp… | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Cerro P… v San Lor… | 0-0 |
Sportivo Trini…
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Sportiv… v Club Sp… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 3-2 |
| Jan 29 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Sportiv… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Sportivo Trin… | 0-0 | Cerro Porteño |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cerro Porteño | 1-3 | Sportivo Trin… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cerro Porteño in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.