Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 15, 2026 20:30

Alianza Atlético
PWR 35
0-0
predicted
UCV Moquegua
PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alianza Atlético Win
Score
0-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (21%)0-0 (16%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5 73%
73%
BTTS No
No 15%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alianza Atléti… LWDDD
STABLE
UCV Moquegua WDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Alianza Atléti…
vs
0.20
UCV Moquegua
Goal Probability
Alianza Atl…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
UCV Moquegua
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (19%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 81% 19% OVER
1.5 49% 51% -
2.5 23% 77% UNDER
3.5 9% 91% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#13
Alianza Atl…
-1
Gap
#12
UCV Moquegua
WR 33% 6 pts WR 0% 7 pts
Alianza Atléti… 10.0%
Mar 07 Alianza… v Sportin… 3-1
Mar 04 Alianza… v Deporti… 2-0
Feb 27 Alianza… v ADT 0-0
Feb 22 Alianza… v Ciencia… 1-1
Feb 15 Alianza… v Alianza… 0-0
Feb 08 Alianza… v Cultura… 1-0
Feb 01 Alianza… v Cusco 1-0
Nov 16 Alianza… v Sport B… 0-1
Nov 09 Alianza… v Alianza… 2-1
Nov 02 Alianza… v Atletic… 1-1
UCV Moquegua 10.0%
Mar 07 UCV Moq… v Sport H… 2-1
Mar 01 UCV Moq… v Sport B… 0-0
Feb 23 UCV Moq… v Deporti… 1-0
Feb 15 UCV Moq… v FBC Mel… 4-0
Feb 06 UCV Moq… v UTC 2-3
Feb 02 UCV Moq… v Comerci… 1-0
Nov 16 UCV Moq… v César V… 2-2
Nov 09 UCV Moq… v César V… 0-1
Nov 02 UCV Moq… v FC Caja… 2-0
Oct 26 UCV Moq… v FC Caja… 2-1
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.