Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 15, 2026 18:15
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
4-0
predicted
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FBC Melgar Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FBC Melgar
LDLLW
STABLE
Atletico Grau
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/3 draws (100%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FBC Melgarvs
0.20
Atletico GrauGoal Probability
FBC Melgar
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Atletico Gr…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
FBC Melgar+11
Gap#18
Atletico Gr…
WR 67% 9 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
FBC Melgar
6.0%
| Mar 10 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 3-1 |
| Mar 06 | FBC Mel… v Ciencia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | FBC Mel… v Cultura… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | FBC Mel… v FC Caja… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FBC Mel… v UCV Moq… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | FBC Mel… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | FBC Mel… v Ciencia… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | FBC Mel… v Macará | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 2-2 |
| Oct 26 | FBC Mel… v Sport H… | 2-0 |
Atletico Grau
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Atletic… v FC Caja… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v Comerci… | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Sport H… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Atletic… v UTC | 2-0 |
| Nov 19 | Atletic… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Atletic… v Alianza… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Atletic… v Cusco | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Atletico Grau | 0-0 | FBC Melgar |
| May 18, 2025 | FBC Melgar | 1-1 | Atletico Grau |
| Sep 24, 2024 | FBC Melgar | 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
Key Factors
FBC Melgar struggling (3L in last 5)
Atletico Grau struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.