Primera División · Mar 13, 2026 20:00
Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
FC Cajamarca
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Comerciantes Unidos
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Cajamarca Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)3-0 (17%)1-0 (15%)0-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.33x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.28x
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Cajamarca
LLWLD
DOWN
Comerciantes U…
LWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
FC Cajamarcavs
0.23
Comerciantes U…Goal Probability
FC Cajamarca
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Comerciante…
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
FC Cajamarca-3
Gap#11
Comerciante…
WR 50% 5 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
FC Cajamarca
6.0%
| Mar 06 | FC Caja… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | FC Caja… v Univers… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | FC Caja… v FBC Mel… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Caja… v Sport H… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | FC Caja… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Caja… v Juan Pa… | 3-3 |
| Nov 02 | FC Caja… v UCV Moq… | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | FC Caja… v UCV Moq… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | FC Caja… v César V… | 3-0 |
| Oct 12 | FC Caja… v César V… | 0-0 |
Comerciantes U…
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Comerci… v UTC | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Comerci… v Atletic… | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Comerci… v Cusco | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Comerci… v Cultura… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Comerci… v Alianza… | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Comerci… v UCV Moq… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Comerci… v UTC | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Comerci… v UTC | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Comerci… v ADT | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Comerci… v Ayacuch… | 0-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
58%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Cajamarca struggling (3L in last 5)
Comerciantes Unidos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.