Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 14, 2026 18:00
Chilpancingo
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Zitacuaro
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Chilpancingo Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chilpancingo
WWDLL
STABLE
Zitacuaro
LWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Chilpancingovs
0.60
ZitacuaroGoal Probability
Chilpancingo
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Zitacuaro
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Chilpancingo+3
Gap#12
Zitacuaro
WR 46% 28 pts
WR 18% 23 pts
Chilpancingo
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Chilpan… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Chilpan… v Cordobés | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Chilpan… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chilpan… v Lobos U… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Chilpan… v Real Ap… | 4-2 |
| Feb 01 | Chilpan… v Gavilan… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Chilpan… v FC Sant… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Chilpan… v Zacatep… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Chilpan… v Sportin… | 5-2 |
| Nov 22 | Chilpan… v Ciervos | 1-1 |
Zitacuaro
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Zitacua… v Zacatep… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Zitacua… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Zitacua… v Ciervos | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Zitacua… v Correca… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Zitacua… v Calor d… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Zitacua… v Gavilan… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Zitacua… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Zitacua… v Cordobés | 1-1 |
| Nov 21 | Zitacua… v Deporti… | 2-2 |
| Nov 15 | Zitacua… v Lobos U… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zitacuaro | 1-1 | Chilpancingo |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
63%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.