League One · Mar 17, 2026 19:45
Bolton
PWR 39
Exeter City
PWR 36
Bolton
PWR 39
1-0
predicted
Exeter City
PWR 36
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Bolton to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)3-0 (4%)2-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
74%
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 78%
Over 3.5
68%
68%
Team Comparison
38Attack35
73Defense68
Goals/G
1.31.2
Conc/G
0.91.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bolton
DWLLW
STABLE
Exeter City
LLDLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
3.46
Boltonvs
1.63
Exeter CityGoal Probability
Bolton
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Exeter City
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)4-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Bolton+13
Gap#16
Exeter City
WR 67% 64 pts
WR 22% 42 pts
Bolton
10.0%
| Mar 10 | Bolton v Doncast… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Wycombe | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Rochdale | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Reading… | 2-3 |
| Mar 04 | Bolton v Northam… | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Bolton v Woking | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Bolton v Port Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Bolton v Exeter … | 1-5 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Forest … | 2-3 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Plymouth | 2-1 |
Exeter City
4.0%
| Mar 10 | Exeter … v Lincoln | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Exeter … v Burnley | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Exeter … v Brighto… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Exeter … v Bolton | 1-5 |
| Feb 21 | Exeter … v Peterbo… | 3-3 |
| Feb 17 | Exeter … v Wycombe | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Exeter … v Northam… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Exeter … v Mansfie… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Exeter … v Rotherh… | 0-4 |
| Jan 27 | Exeter … v Reading… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 28, 2026 | Exeter City | 1-5 | Bolton |
| Jan 01, 2026 | Exeter City | 1-0 | Bolton |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Bolton | 2-1 | Exeter City |
| Dec 02, 2025 | Bolton | 4-0 | Exeter City |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Exeter City | 0-0 | Bolton |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Exeter City | 1-2 | Bolton |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bolton | 1-2 | Exeter City |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Bolton | 0-2 | Exeter City |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Bolton | 0-2 | Exeter City |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Exeter City | 1-0 | Bolton |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Exeter City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.