League Two · Mar 17, 2026 19:30
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Burnley
PWR 25
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
1-1
predicted
Burnley
PWR 25
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
31Attack31
42Defense41
Goals/G
1.01.0
Conc/G
1.92.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Newport County…
WLWLD
STABLE
Burnley
DDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Newport County…vs
1.06
BurnleyGoal Probability
Newport Cou…
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Burnley
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Newport Cou…+11
Gap#12
Burnley
WR 36% 290 pts
WR 48% 119 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport Count… | 227 | 81 | 47 | 99 | 302 | 332 | 290 |
| Burnley | 67 | 32 | 23 | 12 | 110 | 75 | 119 |
Newport County…
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Walsall | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Grimsby | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 5-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newport… v Cambrid… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Newport… v Shrewsb… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Newport… v Watford | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Newport… v Milton … | 1-0 |
Burnley
10.0%
| Mar 10 | Burnley v Cardiff | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Everton | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Oldham | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Wycombe | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Leyton … | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Accring… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Brentfo… | 3-4 |
| Feb 21 | Burnley v Hudders… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 14, 2026 | Burnley | 1-1 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 01, 2026 | Burnley | 2-1 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Newport Count… | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Newport Count… | 2-2 | Burnley |
| Apr 01, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Apr 01, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Burnley | 5-2 | Newport Count… |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Burnley | 5-2 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Burnley | 2-4 | Newport Count… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.