League Two · Mar 14, 2026 15:00

Milton Keynes Dons
PWR 44
Swindon
PWR 52
PWR 52
2-1
predicted

Milton Keynes Dons
PWR 44
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Swindon to win (61% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
54Attack58
58Defense68
Goals/G
1.51.9
Conc/G
1.21.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Swindon
DDLWL
STABLE
Milton Keynes …
WWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Swindonvs
1.47
Milton Keynes …Goal Probability
Swindon
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Milton Keyn…
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (8%)0-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Swindon+5
Gap#8
Milton Keyn…
WR 42% 175 pts
WR 48% 146 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon | 114 | 48 | 31 | 35 | 175 | 137 | 175 |
| Milton Keynes… | 88 | 42 | 20 | 26 | 150 | 110 | 146 |
Swindon
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Swindon v Crawley… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Swindon v Bristol… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Swindon v Crewe | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | Swindon v Barnet | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Swindon v Shrewsb… | 3-1 |
| Feb 11 | Swindon v Newport… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Swindon v Oldham | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | Swindon v Harroga… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Swindon v Barrow | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Swindon v Newport… | 2-1 |
Milton Keynes …
16.0%
| Mar 10 | Milton … v Birming… | 1-5 |
| Mar 07 | Milton … v Harroga… | 4-1 |
| Feb 28 | Milton … v Cambrid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Milton … v Walsall | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Milton … v Crawley… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Milton … v Newport… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Milton … v Chelten… | 2-3 |
| Jan 31 | Milton … v Grimsby | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Milton … v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Milton … v Shrewsb… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 26, 2025 | Milton Keynes… | 1-0 | Swindon |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Milton Keynes… | 0-4 | Swindon |
| May 03, 2025 | Swindon | 0-0 | Milton Keynes… |
| May 03, 2025 | Swindon | 0-0 | Milton Keynes… |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Milton Keynes… | 3-1 | Swindon |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Milton Keynes… | 3-1 | Swindon |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Swindon | 1-2 | Milton Keynes… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Swindon | 1-2 | Milton Keynes… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Milton Keynes Dons in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.