League Two · Mar 14, 2026 12:30
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Chesterfield
PWR 38
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
1-1
predicted
Chesterfield
PWR 38
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
31Attack48
42Defense60
Goals/G
1.01.6
Conc/G
1.91.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Newport County…
WLWLD
STABLE
Chesterfield
LWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Newport County…vs
1.02
ChesterfieldGoal Probability
Newport Cou…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Chesterfield
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#23
Newport Cou…-15
Gap#8
Chesterfield
WR 17% 28 pts
WR 33% 56 pts
Newport County…
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Walsall | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Grimsby | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 5-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newport… v Cambrid… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Newport… v Shrewsb… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Newport… v Watford | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Newport… v Milton … | 1-0 |
Chesterfield
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Chester… v Shrewsb… | 2-3 |
| Mar 03 | Chester… v Manches… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chester… v Barnet | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Chester… v Crawley… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Chester… v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chester… v Harroga… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Chester… v Bristol… | 2-3 |
| Jan 31 | Chester… v Walsall | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Chester… v Watford | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Chester… v Newport… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Newport Count… | 2-1 | Chesterfield |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Chesterfield | 2-0 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Chesterfield | 4-1 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-2 | Chesterfield |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-2 | Chesterfield |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Chesterfield | 2-1 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Chesterfield | 2-1 | Newport Count… |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-3 | Chesterfield |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-3 | Chesterfield |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Chesterfield | 2-2 | Newport Count… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.