FAW Championship · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Pontypridd Town
PWR 51
Treowen Stars
PWR 45
PWR 45
1-1
predicted
Pontypridd Town
PWR 51
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (27%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
62Attack62
38Defense47
Goals/G
1.81.8
Conc/G
1.81.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Treowen Stars
LDLDW
STABLE
Pontypridd Town
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Treowen Starsvs
0.32
Pontypridd TownGoal Probability
Treowen Sta…
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Pontypridd …
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#31
Treowen Sta…-18
Gap#13
Pontypridd …
WR 35% 30 pts
WR 44% 81 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen Stars | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 30 |
| Pontypridd To… | 55 | 24 | 9 | 22 | 97 | 84 | 81 |
Treowen Stars
8.0%
| Mar 10 | Treowen… v Caerau … | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Treowen… v Cambria… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Treowen… v Llantwi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Treowen… v Ynyshir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Treowen… v Cardiff… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Treowen… v Aberyst… | 2-1 |
| Jan 02 | Treowen… v Cwmbran… | 1-2 |
| Dec 26 | Treowen… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Treowen… v Newport… | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | Treowen… v Pontypr… | 1-1 |
Pontypridd Town
12.0%
| Mar 06 | Pontypr… v Llantwi… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Pontypr… v Baglan … | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Pontypr… v Ynyshir… | 1-3 |
| Jan 30 | Pontypr… v Afan Li… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Pontypr… v Ammanfo… | 0-3 |
| Jan 01 | Pontypr… v Cambria… | 1-0 |
| Dec 26 | Pontypr… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Pontypr… v Colwyn … | 0-3 |
| Dec 05 | Pontypr… v Newport… | 0-0 |
| Nov 28 | Pontypr… v Trethom… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 22, 2025 | Treowen Stars | 1-1 | Pontypridd To… |
| Oct 03, 2025 | Pontypridd To… | 5-2 | Treowen Stars |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pontypridd Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.