FAW Championship · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Ynyshir Albions
PWR 32
PWR 32
2-1
predicted
Newport City
PWR 51
PWR 51
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Ynyshir Albions to win (77% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
77%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (27%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
38Attack48
31Defense63
Goals/G
1.11.4
Conc/G
2.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ynyshir Albions
WDLLL
STABLE
Newport City
LLDWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Ynyshir Albionsvs
0.30
Newport CityGoal Probability
Ynyshir Alb…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Newport City
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#30
Ynyshir Alb…-13
Gap#17
Newport City
WR 25% 33 pts
WR 41% 65 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albio… | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 39 | 71 | 33 |
| Newport City | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 65 |
Ynyshir Albions
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Ynyshir… v Cwmbran… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Ynyshir… v Treowen… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ynyshir… v Llantwi… | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Ynyshir… v Trefelin | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Ynyshir… v Pontypr… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | Ynyshir… v Baglan … | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Ynyshir… v Ammanfo… | 2-0 |
| Dec 26 | Ynyshir… v Cambria… | 1-3 |
| Dec 16 | Ynyshir… v Afan Li… | 0-2 |
| Nov 29 | Ynyshir… v Cwmbran… | 1-0 |
Newport City
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Newport… v Trethom… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Newport… v Baglan … | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Caernar… | 4-4 |
| Feb 20 | Newport… v Llantwi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Newport… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Newport… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Newport… v Cambria… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Newport… v Caerau … | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Newport… v Cwmbran… | 2-2 |
| Dec 10 | Newport… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 22, 2025 | Newport City | 1-1 | Ynyshir Albio… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ynyshir Albions struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.