FAW Championship · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Ammanford AFC
PWR 43
Llantwit Major
PWR 50
PWR 50
2-1
predicted
Ammanford AFC
PWR 43
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Llantwit Major to win (61% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
50Attack48
57Defense44
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.21.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Llantwit Major
WWWLW
UP
Ammanford AFC
WLWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Llantwit Majorvs
0.96
Ammanford AFCGoal Probability
Llantwit Ma…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Ammanford A…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Llantwit Ma…+1
Gap#9
Ammanford A…
WR 40% 108 pts
WR 34% 95 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 73 | 29 | 21 | 23 | 105 | 89 | 108 |
| Ammanford AFC | 73 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 101 | 117 | 95 |
Llantwit Major
16.0%
| Mar 10 | Llantwi… v Cwmbran… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Llantwi… v Pontypr… | 0-4 |
| Mar 03 | Llantwi… v Treowen… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Llantwi… v Trefelin | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Llantwi… v Ynyshir… | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Llantwi… v Newport… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Llantwi… v Cwmbran… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Llantwi… v Caernar… | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Llantwi… v Baglan … | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Llantwi… v Cardiff… | 2-0 |
Ammanford AFC
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Ammanfo… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ammanfo… v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ammanfo… v Aberyst… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Ammanfo… v Trethom… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ammanfo… v Caerau … | 3-1 |
| Jan 23 | Ammanfo… v Trefelin | 0-4 |
| Jan 09 | Ammanfo… v Pontypr… | 0-3 |
| Jan 03 | Ammanfo… v Ynyshir… | 2-0 |
| Dec 26 | Ammanfo… v Caernar… | 0-1 |
| Nov 28 | Ammanfo… v Baglan … | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 08, 2025 | Ammanford AFC | 2-1 | Llantwit Major |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Llantwit Major in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.