Eredivisie · Mar 14, 2026 19:00
Heerenveen
PWR 35
Telstar
PWR 35
Heerenveen
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Telstar
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Heerenveen Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Heerenveen
WWLWW
STABLE
Telstar
WLWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Heerenveenvs
1.28
TelstarGoal Probability
Heerenveen
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Telstar
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Heerenveen+8
Gap#16
Telstar
WR 39% 37 pts
WR 23% 24 pts
Heerenveen
16.0%
| Mar 07 | Heerenv… v Excelsi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Heerenv… v Sparta … | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Heerenv… v PSV Ein… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Heerenv… v PEC Zwo… | 4-2 |
| Feb 11 | Heerenv… v GO Ahea… | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | Heerenv… v FC Twen… | 5-0 |
| Feb 04 | Heerenv… v PSV Ein… | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | Heerenv… v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Heerenv… v Groning… | 0-2 |
| Jan 15 | Heerenv… v Waalwijk | 3-1 |
Telstar
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Telstar v Fortuna… | 1-4 |
| Mar 04 | Telstar v AZ Alkm… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Telstar v NAC Bre… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Telstar v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Telstar v FC Twen… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Telstar v GO Ahea… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Telstar v GO Ahea… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Telstar v PEC Zwo… | 4-1 |
| Jan 25 | Telstar v AZ Alkm… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Telstar v Excelsi… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Telstar | 2-3 | Heerenveen |
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Heerenveen in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.