Eredivisie · Mar 14, 2026 17:45
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 35
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 35
5-2
predicted
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
PSV Eindhoven Win
Score
5-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
PSV Eindhoven
WWLWL
STABLE
NEC Nijmegen
WWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
PSV Eindhovenvs
1.14
NEC NijmegenGoal Probability
PSV Eindhov…
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
NEC Nijmegen
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)1-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 52% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
PSV Eindhov…+2
Gap#3
NEC Nijmegen
WR 77% 68 pts
WR 39% 46 pts
PSV Eindhoven
12.0%
| Mar 07 | PSV Ein… v AZ Alkm… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | PSV Ein… v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | PSV Ein… v NEC Nij… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | PSV Ein… v Heracles | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | PSV Ein… v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | PSV Ein… v Cambuur | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | PSV Ein… v Almere … | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | PSV Ein… v Heerenv… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | PSV Ein… v FC Vole… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | PSV Ein… v Den Bos… | 2-1 |
NEC Nijmegen
12.0%
| Mar 08 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | NEC Nij… v PSV Ein… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | NEC Nij… v Fortuna… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | NEC Nij… v Ajax | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | NEC Nij… v Sparta … | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | NEC Nij… v Utrecht | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 4-1 |
| Feb 04 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | NEC Nij… v PEC Zwo… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 03, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Sep 13, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-5 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Feb 01, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Mar 30, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Mar 30, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Sep 16, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 4-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Apr 01, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen | 2-4 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Oct 30, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
PSV Eindhoven in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.