Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 13:00
Maroons
PWR 35
UPDF
PWR 35
Maroons
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
UPDF
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Maroons Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maroons
WWDLL
STABLE
UPDF
LDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.18
Maroonsvs
0.20
UPDFGoal Probability
Maroons
0
2%
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
4
20%
UPDF
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Maroons+6
Gap#15
UPDF
WR 40% 25 pts
WR 20% 13 pts
Maroons
10.0%
| Mar 10 | Maroons v Calvary | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Maroons v Buhimba… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Maroons v Express | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Maroons v SC Villa | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Maroons v Kitara | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Maroons v Mbarara… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Maroons v Entebbe… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Maroons v KCCA | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Maroons v Buhimba… | 1-0 |
| Dec 17 | Maroons v Express | 4-0 |
UPDF
4.0%
| Mar 11 | UPDF v Vipers | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | UPDF v Kitara | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | UPDF v NEC | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | UPDF v Lugazi | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | UPDF v Buhimba… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | UPDF v BUL | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | UPDF v KCCA | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | UPDF v Entebbe… | 0-1 |
| Jan 07 | UPDF v Kitara | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | UPDF v NEC | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 15, 2025 | UPDF | 1-2 | Maroons |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
UPDF struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.