Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 13:00
BUL
PWR 35
Mbarara City
PWR 35
BUL
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Mbarara City
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
BUL Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (3%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
86%
Home/Draw
1.22x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.72x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
BUL
WWWLD
UP
Mbarara City
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
FORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 30% at home = very high riskH2H: 7/9 draws (78%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
BULvs
0.43
Mbarara CityGoal Probability
BUL
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Mbarara City
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (13%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)4-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
BUL+6
Gap#14
Mbarara City
WR 40% 29 pts
WR 10% 15 pts
BUL
14.0%
| Mar 10 | BUL v Buhimba… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | BUL v Calvary | 5-1 |
| Mar 03 | BUL v Police | 0-2 |
| Feb 18 | BUL v KCCA | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | BUL v Vipers | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | BUL v UPDF | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | BUL v Lugazi | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | BUL v SC Villa | 2-1 |
| Jan 07 | BUL v Calvary | 0-1 |
| Dec 16 | BUL v Police | 1-3 |
Mbarara City
4.0%
| Mar 10 | Mbarara… v Kitara | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Mbarara… v Vipers | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Mbarara… v URA | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Mbarara… v Entebbe… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Mbarara… v Calvary | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Mbarara… v Maroons | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Mbarara… v SC Villa | 6-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mbarara… v Lugazi | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Mbarara… v Vipers | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | Mbarara… v URA | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 17, 2025 | Mbarara City | 1-1 | BUL |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mbarara City | 0-0 | BUL |
| Oct 02, 2024 | BUL | 0-2 | Mbarara City |
| May 14, 2024 | Mbarara City | 0-0 | BUL |
| Jan 06, 2024 | BUL | 1-1 | Mbarara City |
| Mar 28, 2022 | Mbarara City | 1-1 | BUL |
| Nov 02, 2021 | BUL | 1-0 | Mbarara City |
| May 09, 2021 | BUL | 1-1 | Mbarara City |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Mbarara City | 1-1 | BUL |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
68%
Market
64%
Key Factors
BUL in strong form (3W in last 5)
Mbarara City struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.