Premier League · Mar 11, 2026 17:00
URA
PWR 35
URA
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Lugazi
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
URA Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
URA
DWDDD
STABLE
Lugazi
LLWLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
URAvs
0.20
LugaziGoal Probability
URA
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Lugazi
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (26%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
URA+1
Gap#12
Lugazi
WR 30% 19 pts
WR 0% 18 pts
URA
12.0%
| Mar 07 | URA v Entebbe… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | URA v Mbarara… | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | URA v Kitara | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | URA v SC Villa | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | URA v Police | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | URA v Calvary | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | URA v Vipers | 0-3 |
| Jan 13 | URA v Entebbe… | 0-1 |
| Dec 17 | URA v Mbarara… | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | URA v SC Villa | 3-0 |
Lugazi
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Lugazi v NEC | 0-2 |
| Mar 03 | Lugazi v Vipers | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Lugazi v UPDF | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Lugazi v Police | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Lugazi v SC Villa | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | Lugazi v BUL | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Lugazi v Mbarara… | 0-0 |
| Jan 07 | Lugazi v NEC | 1-0 |
| Dec 17 | Lugazi v Vipers | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Lugazi v Police | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 22, 2025 | Lugazi | 0-0 | URA |
| May 06, 2025 | Lugazi | 0-1 | URA |
| Dec 19, 2024 | URA | 1-0 | Lugazi |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lugazi struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.