National Soccer League · Mar 15, 2026 16:30
Gicumbi
PWR 35
Police
PWR 35
Gicumbi
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Police
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (28%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gicumbi
LDDDD
STABLE
Police
LDDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 30% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesAway draws 64% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 94% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Gicumbivs
0.79
PoliceGoal Probability
Gicumbi
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Police
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Gicumbi-7
Gap#5
Police
WR 30% 25 pts
WR 27% 37 pts
Gicumbi
8.0%
| Mar 03 | Gicumbi v Al Hila… | 5-0 |
| Feb 28 | Gicumbi v Kiyovu … | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Gicumbi v Etincel… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Gicumbi v Marines | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Gicumbi v Amagaju | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Gicumbi v Musanze | 0-3 |
| Jan 09 | Gicumbi v Muhanga | 2-3 |
| Jan 05 | Gicumbi v Kiyovu … | 1-4 |
| Jan 02 | Gicumbi v Al Hila… | 1-3 |
| Dec 26 | Gicumbi v Rutsiro | 2-4 |
Police
6.0%
| Mar 09 | Police v Al Merr… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Police v Muhanga | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Police v Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Police v APR | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Police v Kiyovu … | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Police v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Police v Kiyovu … | 0-0 |
| Jan 08 | Police v Al Merr… | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Police v Gorilla | 4-0 |
| Dec 26 | Police v Bugesera | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 22, 2025 | Police | 2-1 | Gicumbi |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Gicumbi | 1-1 | Police |
| Dec 04, 2021 | Police | 0-0 | Gicumbi |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.