National Soccer League · Mar 15, 2026 13:00
Kiyovu Sports
PWR 35
AS Kigali
PWR 35
Kiyovu Sports
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
AS Kigali
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Kiyovu Sports to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kiyovu Sports
LDLDD
STABLE
AS Kigali
DDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 54% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 72% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Kiyovu Sportsvs
1.21
AS KigaliGoal Probability
Kiyovu Spor…
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
AS Kigali
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Kiyovu Spor…+5
Gap#13
AS Kigali
WR 23% 33 pts
WR 36% 24 pts
Kiyovu Sports
6.0%
| Mar 10 | Kiyovu … v Marines | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Kiyovu … v Etincel… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Kiyovu … v Bugesera | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Kiyovu … v Musanze | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Kiyovu … v Gicumbi | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Kiyovu … v Al Hila… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Kiyovu … v Mukura | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Kiyovu … v APR | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kiyovu … v Police | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Kiyovu … v Mukura | 3-1 |
AS Kigali
12.0%
| Mar 08 | AS Kiga… v Muhanga | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | AS Kiga… v Etincel… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | AS Kiga… v Al Merr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | AS Kiga… v Amagaju | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | AS Kiga… v Police | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | AS Kiga… v Kiyovu … | 0-1 |
| Jan 09 | AS Kiga… v Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | AS Kiga… v Etincel… | 0-1 |
| Dec 29 | AS Kiga… v Al Hila… | 4-2 |
| Dec 26 | AS Kiga… v Gasogi … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 05, 2026 | AS Kigali | 0-1 | Kiyovu Sports |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports | 0-2 | AS Kigali |
| Nov 02, 2025 | AS Kigali | 0-3 | Kiyovu Sports |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports | 2-1 | AS Kigali |
| Dec 14, 2024 | AS Kigali | 1-3 | Kiyovu Sports |
| May 05, 2024 | Kiyovu Sports | 4-2 | AS Kigali |
| Dec 09, 2023 | AS Kigali | 2-1 | Kiyovu Sports |
| Mar 12, 2023 | AS Kigali | 1-1 | Kiyovu Sports |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports | 1-0 | AS Kigali |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports | 1-0 | AS Kigali |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
54%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.