National Soccer League · Mar 14, 2026 13:30
Bugesera
PWR 35
Gasogi United
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Bugesera
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Gasogi United Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (27%)0-0 (26%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gasogi United
DDLDD
STABLE
Bugesera
WDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesAway draws 44% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 78% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31
Gasogi Unitedvs
1.03
BugeseraGoal Probability
Gasogi Unit…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Bugesera
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-0 (16%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Gasogi Unit…-1
Gap#10
Bugesera
WR 17% 26 pts
WR 11% 28 pts
Gasogi United
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Gasogi … v Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Gasogi … v Al Merr… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Gasogi … v Amagaju | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Gasogi … v Mukura | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Gasogi … v Muhanga | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Gasogi … v APR | 0-3 |
| Jan 12 | Gasogi … v Gorilla | 1-2 |
| Jan 05 | Gasogi … v Al Merr… | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Gasogi … v Musanze | 0-3 |
| Dec 26 | Gasogi … v AS Kiga… | 1-1 |
Bugesera
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Bugesera v Amagaju | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Bugesera v Musanze | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Bugesera v Gorilla | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Bugesera v APR | 2-2 |
| Jan 11 | Bugesera v Etincel… | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | Bugesera v APR | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Bugesera v Police | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bugesera | 0-0 | Gasogi United |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.