A-League · Mar 15, 2026 08:00
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Melbourne Victory to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
68%
68%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Melbourne Vict…
DDWDW
STABLE
Macarthur FC
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): A-League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Melbourne Vict…vs
0.32
Macarthur FCGoal Probability
Melbourne V…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Macarthur FC
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)4-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Melbourne V…+2
Gap#7
Macarthur FC
WR 44% 29 pts
WR 33% 25 pts
Melbourne Vict…
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Melbour… v Sydney | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Melbour… v Welling… | 2-3 |
| Feb 01 | Melbour… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Melbour… v Sydney | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Melbour… v Western… | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 3-2 |
Macarthur FC
2.0%
| Mar 04 | Macarth… v Central… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Macarth… v Western… | 0-4 |
| Feb 22 | Macarth… v Newcast… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Macarth… v Bangkok… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Macarth… v Bangkok… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Macarth… v Perth G… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Macarth… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 6-2 |
| Jan 18 | Macarth… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Macarth… v Sydney | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 05, 2025 | Macarthur FC | 0-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Macarthur FC | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 03, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 0-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 0-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Apr 22, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 1-4 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 04, 2022 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-1 | Macarthur FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Macarthur FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.