Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 17:30
Arsenal
PWR 21
Everton
PWR 35
Arsenal
PWR 21
4-1
predicted
Everton
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arsenal Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)2-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
20Attack33
40Defense66
Goals/G
0.71.1
Conc/G
2.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arsenal
DDWWW
STABLE
Everton
WWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Arsenalvs
1.47
EvertonGoal Probability
Arsenal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Everton
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Arsenal+8
Gap#10
Everton
WR 63% 285 pts
WR 33% 177 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 136 | 86 | 27 | 23 | 266 | 126 | 285 |
| Everton | 141 | 47 | 36 | 58 | 154 | 183 | 177 |
Arsenal
16.0%
| Mar 11 | Arsenal v Bayer 0… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Arsenal v Slavia … | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Arsenal v Mansfie… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Arsenal v Brighto… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Arsenal v FC Gomel | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Arsenal v Tottenh… | 1-4 |
| Feb 22 | Arsenal v Mandals… | 0-5 |
| Feb 18 | Arsenal v Wolverh… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Arsenal v Moss | 3-0 |
Everton
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Everton v Burnley | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Everton v Newcast… | 2-3 |
| Feb 23 | Everton v Manches… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Everton v Bournem… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Everton v Fulham | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Everton v Brighto… | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Everton v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Everton v Aston V… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Everton v Sunderl… | 1-1 |
| Jan 07 | Everton v Wolverh… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Everton | 0-1 | Arsenal |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Everton | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Arsenal | 0-0 | Everton |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Arsenal | 0-0 | Everton |
| May 19, 2024 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Everton |
| May 19, 2024 | Arsenal | 2-1 | Everton |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Everton | 0-1 | Arsenal |
| Mar 01, 2023 | Arsenal | 4-0 | Everton |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Everton | 1-0 | Arsenal |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Arsenal | 2-0 | Everton |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
Everton in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.