Birinci Dəstə · Mar 18, 2026 11:00
Safa Baku
PWR 35
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Şahdağ
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Safa Baku Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Safa Baku
WWWDD
UP
Şahdağ
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 56% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Safa Bakuvs
0.74
ŞahdağGoal Probability
Safa Baku
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Şahdağ
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Safa Baku+4
Gap#5
Şahdağ
WR 44% 42 pts
WR 33% 24 pts
Safa Baku
16.0%
| Mar 11 | Safa Ba… v Şimal | 0-2 |
| Mar 05 | Safa Ba… v Şahdağ | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Safa Ba… v Difai A… | 1-8 |
| Feb 19 | Safa Ba… v Energet… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Safa Ba… v Səbail … | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Safa Ba… v Baku Sp… | 1-1 |
| Dec 25 | Safa Ba… v MOIK | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | Safa Ba… v Cəbrayıl | 0-1 |
| Dec 11 | Safa Ba… v Qabala | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Safa Ba… v Qabala | 2-1 |
Şahdağ
16.0%
| Mar 05 | Şahdağ v Safa Ba… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Şahdağ v Qabala | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Şahdağ v Şimal | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Şahdağ v Cəbrayıl | 4-2 |
| Feb 06 | Şahdağ v Difai A… | 4-0 |
| Dec 24 | Şahdağ v Energet… | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Şahdağ v Səbail … | 2-2 |
| Dec 10 | Şahdağ v Baku Sp… | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Şahdağ v Turan T… | 1-2 |
| Nov 27 | Şahdağ v Safa Ba… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 05, 2026 | Safa Baku | 2-1 | Şahdağ |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Şahdağ | 0-2 | Safa Baku |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Safa Baku in strong form (3W in last 5)
Şahdağ in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.