Victoria NPL · Mar 13, 2026 08:30
Green Gully
PWR 35
Melbourne City
PWR 65
Green Gully
PWR 35
1-3
predicted
Melbourne City
PWR 65
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Melbourne City Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.71x
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack64
100Defense67
Goals/G
0.01.8
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Green Gully
DLLLL
STABLE
Melbourne City
DWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
HOME_LEAKINGAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Green Gullyvs
1.07
Melbourne CityGoal Probability
Green Gully
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Melbourne C…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Green Gully-9
Gap#1
Melbourne C…
WR 24% 24 pts
WR 65% 67 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Gully | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 45 | 24 |
| Melbourne City | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 67 |
Green Gully
2.0%
| Mar 06 | Green G… v Hume Ci… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Green G… v Avondale | 5-0 |
| Feb 20 | Green G… v Sunshin… | 0-2 |
| Feb 13 | Green G… v Heidelb… | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | Green G… v Avondale | 2-1 |
| Aug 15 | Green G… v Preston… | 0-1 |
| Aug 03 | Green G… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Jul 25 | Green G… v St. Alb… | 2-2 |
| May 30 | Green G… v Hume Ci… | 3-2 |
| May 09 | Green G… v Avondale | 5-2 |
Melbourne City
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Melbour… v Buriram… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Melbour… v Bentlei… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Melbour… v Buriram… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Melbour… v Altona … | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Melbour… v Auckland | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Aucklan… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Melbour… v Hume Ci… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Melbour… v Gangwon… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Melbour… v Avondale | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 03, 2025 | Melbourne City | 1-1 | Green Gully |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
44%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Green Gully struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.