Back Stats
Ligue 1 · Mar 17, 2026 14:00

Mostaganem
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Paradou AC
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mostaganem Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
Yes 65%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mostaganem LLDLD
DOWN
Paradou AC LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Mostaganem
vs
1.84
Paradou AC
Goal Probability
Mostaganem
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Paradou AC
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 5% OVER
1.5 82% 19% OVER
2.5 60% 40% -
3.5 38% 63% -
4.5 20% 80% UNDER
5.5 9% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
League Position
#15
Mostaganem
-1
Gap
#14
Paradou AC
WR 27% 14 pts WR 10% 17 pts
Mostaganem 4.0%
Mar 07 Mostaga… v MC Alger 0-5
Feb 28 Mostaga… v ES Sétif 3-0
Feb 21 Mostaga… v JS Kaby… 2-2
Feb 14 Mostaga… v MB Roui… 1-0
Feb 07 Mostaga… v MC Oran 0-0
Feb 03 Mostaga… v CS Cons… 2-1
Jan 23 Mostaga… v Oued Ak… 1-0
Jan 15 Mostaga… v JS Saou… 0-2
Jan 08 Mostaga… v El Baya… 1-0
Dec 29 Mostaga… v Ben Akn… 0-1
Paradou AC 0.0%
Mar 06 Paradou… v JS Kaby… 3-2
Feb 27 Paradou… v MC Oran 1-2
Feb 21 Paradou… v Oued Ak… 4-3
Feb 14 Paradou… v Ben Akn… 3-5
Jan 23 Paradou… v ASO Chl… 2-0
Jan 08 Paradou… v ES Sétif 2-2
Dec 27 Paradou… v MB Roui… 1-0
Dec 19 Paradou… v CS Cons… 2-0
Nov 20 Paradou… v El Baya… 2-0
Nov 09 Paradou… v JS Saou… 1-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 26, 2025 Paradou AC 1-0 Mostaganem
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mostaganem struggling (3L in last 5)
Paradou AC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.